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Model for Adaptive Response to Complex Cyclical Disasters

MARCCD

Phases of Disaster

Chronic, cyclical disasters push a community through exhausting, recurring phases of anticipation, impact, and adaptation before a final recovery phase can begin

  • We can more accurately assess the cumulative stress load for any community or country after a disaster if we have identified the foundational issues, chronic and acute stressors already present.
  • We can help communities to enhance their capacity to adapt their skills and strategies to mitigate those expected stressors.
  • We can help all ‘faces’ and cultures to understand where they are in the cycle, what is coming next, and what they can change or adapt to manage the stress by viewing each phase from their cultural and role perspective.

Higher risk groups are likely to experience disaster differently than the general population. These groups are likely to be both disproportionately negatively impacted and experience inequity in aid and response. Higher risk groups include underrepresented communities such as racial minorities (such as Black, Indigenous communities, Asian, Pacific Islander, Latinx), religious minorities, ethnic minorities, people with disabilities, the LGBTQ+ community, people with low income, people residing in rural and remote areas, refugees/displaced communities, and others. Community leaders and responders must identify and assess these higher risk groups to ensure more equitable response.

Phases of Disaster, with a return from Adaptation to Anticipation AnticipationImpactAdaptationGrowth & Recovery Phases of Disaster, with a return from Adaptation to Anticipation AnticipationImpactAdaptationGrowth & Recovery
  1. 01

    Anticipation

    • Occurs immediately before the Impact Phase; the threat of a disaster or emergency creates anxiety.
    • Anticipation and anxiety may be high depending on the type and size of disaster and the public messaging.
    • In sudden onset events, this phase is very brief.
    • If there are breaks in between disasters that allow for preparation, this phase may be calm.
    • Create space for recuperation, triage, and integrating lessons learned in preparing for the next event.
  2. 02

    Impact

    • Intense phase that activates fight, flight or fear responses.
    • Extreme focus on survival.
    • Limited ability to assess impact beyond immediate needs.
    • Can cause lasting psychological distress due to fear of death or serious injury.
    • Social isolation, lack of information of status of loved ones significantly increases the negative emotional impacts.
  3. 03

    Adaptation

    • Immediately after Impact Phase (24-48 hrs.).
    • Usually brings a sense of relative safety and stability; the start of recovery.
    • Initially, a sense of gratitude at surviving, high levels of energy, willingness to work hard and help each other.
    • After this initial sense of altruism, reality of losses can cause anger, disappointment, resentment and infighting.
    • Delays, inequity in limitations in aid along with short public attention can create a sense of abandonment.
  4. 04

    Growth & Recovery

    • An unlimited time marked by a return to or creation of new routines; sense of things being 'back to normal' or adapting to the ‘new normal’.
    • Temporary (or Short term) response teams leave and resources are replenished.
    • The progress in this phase is highly affected by the intensity of the disaster and losses, availability of resources, social support and conflicts within the community and its subgroups.

The duration and intensity of each phase is highly dependent on the nature of the disaster

How Do We Reach Recovery?

Faces of Disaster

Each “face,” group or culture experiencing a disaster is composed of various subgroups. Higher-risk communities may be more directly and severely impacted by the disaster and may also experience inequity in response efforts, especially in middle and low income countries.

Original MARCCD illustration of Survivors, Community Leaders, and Responders
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Survivors

Survivors represent members of the impacted community.

Community Leaders

Community Leaders represents leadership and institutions of power and/or influence in the community. Examples include government officials, religious leaders, and other civic and social network leaders.

Responders

Responders represents the group of workers and community volunteers called upon in the face of a disaster or emergency to protect the lives, property, and overall safety of community members.

Healthy Stress Regulation

The phases of a chronic, cyclic disaster can cause varying level of stress and distress. In response, there is a range of adaptive (healthy) to maladaptive (unhealthy) responses that survivors, the community and responders may experience. Achieving healthy stress regulation in each phase requires different actions by each group. Examples that will help each group remain in the zone of healthy stress regulation are provided below.

Original Healthy Stress Regulation graph showing adaptive response and under- and over-regulation over time
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If left unmitigated, survivors, the community, and responders will find themselves in the Purple and Red zones of extreme distress. More adaptive actions by individuals and leadership will keep these groups in the Zone of Healthy Stress Regulation

Key Actions to Adaptive Mitigation of Stress

Survivors

Anticipation

Identify and promote survivors that have adapted well in prior similar experiences to work within their community

Engage in actions to help channel anxious energy, such as calming thoughts, exercise, meditation and other spiritual practices

Impact

Give survivors with experience room to share memories, experiences and coping skills

Share access to correct and credible information

Adaptation

Participate in culturally attuned memorials for collective remembering and grieving

Get involved in local projects that are planning for the post-disaster future

Growth & Recovery

Integrate disaster experience

Seek treatment for persistent mental health concerns

Community Leaders

Anticipation

Clearly message quality information on risk communication

Provision of anticipated needed resources

Impact

Leverage just in time partnerships to address the most immediate needs

Promote actionable information from trusted resources

Adaptation

Evaluate and restore basic functions (e.g., schools) with appropriate modifications

Build resources and resilience for middle and low income areas and high-risk subgroups and conduct planning to avoid returning to pre-disaster neglect

Growth & Recovery

Encourage restoration of productive relationships between subgroups

Address competition and resentment between subgroups that has persisted or evolved

Responders

Anticipation

In planning, capture lessons learned from other communities (if initial onset) or from earlier cycles (if this is a new cycle)

Address existing or anticipated compassion fatigue and burnout

Impact

Focus on training and community building to increase capacity for locals to respond and provide sustainable longer term supports

Address responders’ needs to keep own families safe by offering co-sheltering and shared resources

Adaptation

Advise and support responders to feel empowered to continue the work without the influx of outside help

Enlist disaster mental health experts to support responders at risk of burnout

Growth & Recovery

Integrate lessons learned into future preparation, training, and response

Monitor and seek help for consistent and severe stress/distress

Community Stress Load Threshold

A country or community’s capacity to absorb the shock of a chronic disaster, such as a pandemic or war, depends on the foundational issues and stressors already present. It can be difficult to recover on its own when a community accumulates stressors that bring it to a tolerance limit.

Measure the Cumulative Stress Load in a Community

  • Acute Stressors

    Health, economic, and environmental crises; police-community conflicts (Disaster 1 & 2)
  • Chronic Stressors

    Community violence, war, low income/resources, poor population health, housing instability, lack of political representation, and population loss
  • Foundational Issues

    Unemployment, low trust in institutions, intergenerational poverty, racism and discrimination as examples.

    Stakeholders can strengthen Protective Factors and address Imparing Factors to stay below the load threshold.

Mitigating the Cumulative Stress Load in a Community

  1. Anticipation
  2. Impact
  3. Adaptation
  4. Growth & Recovery
Original Community Stress Load Threshold graph with foundational issues, chronic stressors, disasters, protective and impairing factors
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Community Balance Sheet

Communities may have ongoing disasters that can result in decreased resources. When survivors, responders and other community members work together, within each phase, these overlaid crises can be decreased to improve the community’s ability to problem solve and recover.

Original Community Balance Sheet showing multiple overlapping disaster cycles and the people impacted
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The potential negative effects of Stressors are more threatening if substantial Foundational Issues are already present in the community or country. Higher-risk subgroups have at baseline, higher levels of accumulated stress, which is worsened by an already thick layer of Foundational Issues. Higher-risk communities, cultures and subgroups may benefit from extra support from external resources to reinforce their response capacity. Communities that can address impairing factors and strengthen protective factors can decrease their cumulative stress load and may find their community ultimately strengthened.

About

This Model for Adaptive Response to Complex Cyclical Disasters (© 2022) was developed out of a three-way collaboration between Vibrant Emotional Health’s Crisis Emotional Care Team, the Group for the Advancement of Psychiatry’s Committee on Disasters, Trauma and Global Health, and Decision Point Systems.

Precipitated by the chronic, recurring disaster of the COVID19 pandemic, and superimposed natural disasters, forest fires and mass casualty events, we saw a pressing need to develop a framework for key stakeholders to make sense of and stage responses to the increasingly frequent and complex array of disaster events we face in contemporary society, superimposed atop chronic psychosocial and socioeconomic stressors.

The following infographic addresses several key topics, including:

  • Revised “Phases of Disaster”, from Anticipation, to Impact, Adaptation, and Growth & Recovery
  • Stress Regulation Model, highlighting key drivers of resilient and less adaptive response paths
  • Focus on key stakeholder groups, including Survivors, Community Leaders and Responders, and specific expert guidelines for adaptive responses
  • A model of Community Stress Load which incorporates the impact of Foundational Issues, Chronic Stressors and specific Disasters
  • The “Community Balance Sheet”, a useful tool for specific communities to conceptualize and account for multiple, overlapping stressors in planning for all Stages of Disaster

Creators

Original downloads

Published language editions from MARCCD.info.

Developed by

Decision Point SystemsVibrant Emotional HealthGroup for the Advancement of Psychiatry

The Model for Adaptive Response to Complex Cyclical Disasters is Copyright @2022 by Vibrant Emotional Health, all rights reserved. The model may be copied, duplicated, and only used for educational and practical uses in whole or part with attribution to Vibrant Emotional Health and/or its authors.

Suggested citation is Vibrant Emotional Health, Group for the Advancement of Psychiatry, Decision Point Systems. (2022). Model for Adaptive Response to Complex Cyclical Disasters (MARCCD). https://marccd.info/

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